Quote:
Originally Posted by FROBAY
Be real man, Look at the poll again and think a minute......Does it look like all 700 owners voted in this poll...no.
But for the amount of people that did vote, the breakage is high. The poll is probly a fair representation on a whole.
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I did not say all 700 needed to vote but a higher ammount of ppl needed to do it to get a more accurate damaged/fine ration.
Quote:
Originally Posted by biglebowski9999
Honestly, the only thing worse than your grasp of statistics is your grammar, but that's not what we're really here to discuss.
You threw out the ridiculous stats but failed to explain why you think the 50 or so recieved by members here seem to be damaged at a rate of 2 out of 3 but somehow the other 650 or so in the ES that we don't know about will somehow miraculously be perfect. I would love to hear your theories on how that will happen. Guess the members of SF just got a bad batch, huh?
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first off: Honestly guys..this is not just on this forum but on other aswell,
do you think that english is the mother language of all countrys?, you realize there are other countrys that dont have english as their mother language. I could comment on this mroe but I know how this will end and therefore shall not.
second: read again..what I posted, I assumed and posted a THEORY and how I also can turn the statistics around so it would look better and that a higher account would give a more valid ratio.
Quote:
Originally Posted by biglebowski9999
Thanks for keeping an eye on the kids there, Dad, but he pretty much started it with this comment:
So you can go play pretend-Mod in another thread now.
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I know math skills overall in the world are poor as well in the US and in Sweden this goes for adults and teenagers. Not everyone undertands it, and especially statistics were you can pretty much turn it to get the wanted results.
your last comment...Im goign to restrain myself from saying anything..but wow.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Turtle
With all due respect Braticus, it seems like there are some flaws in your statements:
First off, the poll results are not based on assumptions but rather actual reported answers. So when you assumed away all the possibilities of additonal damaged piece, you are no longer working with statistics.
Percentage were obtained from the polls and thus do have significant meaning. We only know for certain that 32 out of the 54 total statues came in with flaws. We do not know, and cannot say for sure, what the other 646pcs are going to turn out like. But statistically, this sample size thus far is telling us that with 95% confidence, we can be sure that the percentage of damaged statues willl be 59.26% +/- 13% (margin of error). That's still a range of 46.26% to 72.26% for damaged statues. You can run the numbers here if you like to see for yourself:
http://www.surveysystem.com/sscalc.htm
Not sure how you came up with the 150-200 pieces to get a correct estimate. Statistically, as sample size get smaller, the margin of error gets larger. But that does not mean we cannot take the sample given and run it statistically to get meaningful results. Keep in mind that these statues are sent out randomly to forum members from various parts of the world. I am sure from a business standpoint that Jerry made this poll for a reason. If these numbers obtain from the poll is not a representation of the entire population of the statue, then there would be no reason to start this poll.
Just my 2 cents.
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Once again I never pointed anything with this poll but in generall that it needed more then the results we hade when I posted (I see it has incresed with a few now)
perhapps 150 was a bit high but around 15% or so of the sum is needed to get a fair ammoutn in this case a bit over 100.
as a 2.5 year math teacher student before switching carere I have a fair bit of knowledged what I am talking about and dont just toss around ridicules replies. But is nice to see one that can make a critical and questioned response instedd of those facepalm pics that are imo on a very low childish level.